To overcome resulting, Duke suggests we stop seeking absolute certainty and instead start When you view your decisions as bets, you naturally shift your focus toward probability. You stop asking, "Am I 100% sure this will work?" and start asking, "What are the odds of this succeeding, and what is the potential payoff?"
Duke illustrates this by dissecting Pete Carroll's infamous play-call in Super Bowl XLIX. Instead of handing the ball to Marshawn Lynch on the one-yard line, the Seattle Seahawks threw a pass that was intercepted, losing the game. The media immediately branded it "the worst play in Super Bowl history." However, from a probability and game-theory perspective, the play call was statistically defensible—it was simply a low-probability, unlucky result. Resulting blinds us to the truth that sometimes, even when we play our cards perfectly, chance can still deal us a loss. Life as a Poker Game: Embracing Probability
If you're interested in learning more about Duke's approach to decision-making, you can download the "Thinking in Bets Annie Duke PDF" [insert link here]. This will give you access to the full book, where you can dive deeper into Duke's principles and strategies.
It forces you to realistically assess the likelihood of various scenarios.